The official results of Poland’s election, released on Tuesday, have solidified the liberal, pro-European Union opposition alliance led by former Prime Minister Donald Tusk to form the next government. This outcome signals a potential shift in Polish foreign policy towards a more pro-European stance.
Although Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki’s ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party secured the highest number of votes for a single party with 35.38%, it falls short of a majority. The liberal Civic Coalition (KO) came in second with 30.70%, followed by the centre-right Third Way at 14.40%, and the New Left at 8.61%.
These three parties are anticipated to commence talks for coalition formation. While PiS may attempt to establish a government, the likelihood of success appears low. The far-right Confederation, the only potential PiS coalition partner, underperformed with just 7.16% of the vote.
A liberal opposition government would signify a significant political shift in Poland, countering PiS’s nationalist policies. Key campaign issues included Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, migrant policies, and women’s rights, motivating over 74% of voters.
PiS has been at odds with the European Union, engaging in frequent disputes with Brussels. Tusk has vowed to mend relations and unfreeze EU funds, stalled due to an ongoing rule of law disagreement in Poland.
At 66, Tusk previously served as Poland’s prime minister from 2007 to 2014 and held the position of European Council president from 2014 to 2019. This election outcome could reshape Poland’s role in European politics.
