Current Situation and Recent Trends
-
August 2025 Prices:
-
Super 98: AED 2.69 per litre (down from AED 2.70 in July)
-
Special 95: AED 2.57 (previously AED 2.58)
-
E-Plus 91: AED 2.50 (from AED 2.51) Gulf News, Arabian Business, JobXDubai
-
-
On a year-over-year basis, prices are noticeably lower than in August 2024—Super 98 has dropped from AED 3.05, Special 95 from AED 2.93, and E-Plus 91 from AED 2.86 Arabian Business.
What Could September Bring?
Optimistic Signals—Potential for Modest Drops
-
OPEC+ Output Increase: Heightened production is putting downward pressure on global prices.
-
Brent Crude Pricing: Brent recently hovered around USD 65 per barrel; the August average was about USD 66.91, down from July’s USD 69.87 Khaleej Times, JobXDubai, What’s On, Gulf News.
-
Expert Viewpoint:
-
Gulf News suggests a modest rise is possible if economic signals trend upward, but they don’t anticipate a sharp increase soon Gulf News.
-
Khaleej Times and What’s On UAE highlight the likelihood of a small drop, if oil prices maintain their weak trajectory Khaleej Times, What’s On.
-
JobXDubai projects a slight reduction, estimating potential 1–3 fils per litre decreases, depending on how far Brent declines JobXDubai.
-
Counterpoints—Some Predict a Rise
-
YallaMotor anticipates a possible increase, noting the general complexity of predicting fuel prices despite recent downward trends. Their forecast is cautious, emphasizing that historical volatility could swing September prices upward Yallamotor.com, DubiCars.
What to Expect
-
Likely Scenario: Another modest decrease—perhaps 1–3 fils per litre—if oil prices remain low or drop further.
-
Alternative Outcome: If crude markets stabilize or rebound, prices may hold steady or even tick slightly higher—though a significant jump seems unlikely in the absence of disruptive events.
-
When Will We Know? Official September pricing will be announced on Sunday, 31 August, as per Fuel Price Committee practice Time Out Abu Dhabi, What’s On, JobXDubai.
Final Takeaway
You may well see slight relief at the pump come September—especially if current softening in oil markets holds. However, it’s wise to stay tuned for the official announcement at the end of August to plan accordingly.